El Daklyeh 1-3 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.68
Over 2.5
31%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
12%
4.27
6+ Goals
6%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 39% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.3pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.3pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-12.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.4pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Daklyeh EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 62%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
245 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Daklyeh
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.56 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
229 Passes 384
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 4-0 HT 4-0 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
12.04.2023 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
19.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 HT 0-0 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Daklyeh
1-3
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.09 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
229 Passes 373
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Daklyeh vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra got the better of El Daklyeh 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Daklyeh had 41% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for El Daklyeh and 1.33 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of El Daklyeh vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

El Daklyeh 1-3 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Daklyeh vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split El Daklyeh 20%, draw 33%, Ceramica Cleopatra 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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