Pharco 0-2 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
0.81/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.06
-26% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
14.2 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Ismaily
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
0.38 xG 1.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
205 Passes 353
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
08.03.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.11.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
06.08.2022 Pharco Pharco 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
07.03.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
0-2
AWAY Ismaily
0.53 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
281 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily got the better of Pharco 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Ismaily made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Pharco had 50% of the ball to Ismaily's 50%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.53 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pharco had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Pharco and 0.20 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Ismaily?

Pharco 0-2 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pharco win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pharco 36%, draw 31%, Ismaily 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pharco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pharco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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