Olimpia Grudziadz 1-3 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.22
6+ Goals
10%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.26
-18% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 HT 2-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
12.08.2014 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1-3
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola saw off Olimpia Grudziadz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Stal Stalowa Wola made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 50% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 50%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stal Stalowa Wola led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 2.00 for Stal Stalowa Wola.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Olimpia Grudziadz 1-3 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 39%, draw 29%, Stal Stalowa Wola 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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