SKRA Czestochowa 1-3 Wisla Pulawy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.75/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.66
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
20.10.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 0-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
13.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 4-1 HT 3-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
04.03.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
06.08.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-0 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
09.04.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-1 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Wisla Pulawy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy got the better of SKRA Czestochowa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was SKRA Czestochowa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 0.67 for Wisla Pulawy.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Wisla Pulawy?

SKRA Czestochowa 1-3 Wisla Pulawy in the Poland - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Wisla Pulawy?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKRA Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 41%, draw 30%, Wisla Pulawy 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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