Lodzki KS 1-2 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 May 2024

Lodzki KS
1-2 HT 0-0
Slask Wroclaw
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Lodzki KS vs Slask Wroclaw Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.95
1/2
5%
24.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
10%
6.93
X/2
15%
4.6
X/X
13%
4.95
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.8
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lodzki KS v Slask Wroclaw — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -27%
0.76/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.24
-53% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.8 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Lodzki KS vs Slask Wroclaw Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lodzki KS
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.02 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
307 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
16.08.2020 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-2 HT 1-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POLK
14.06.2020 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 4-0 HT 3-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
08.11.2019 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
11.12.2011 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 1-2 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL

Lodzki KS 1-2 Slask Wroclaw — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lodzki KS
1-2
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.81 xG 1.19
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
427 Passes 171
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lodzki KS vs Slask Wroclaw
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw nicked a narrow win over Lodzki KS 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slask Wroclaw as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lodzki KS had 67% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 33%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.81 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lodzki KS.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Slask Wroclaw led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Lodzki KS and 2.20 for Slask Wroclaw.

What was the final score of Lodzki KS vs Slask Wroclaw?

Lodzki KS 1-2 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lodzki KS vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lodzki KS 28%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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