Academico Viseu 1-1 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

Academico Viseu
1-1 HT 0-1
Leixoes
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Academico Viseu vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 35% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academico Viseu v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.07/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.47
-27% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.9 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3

Academico Viseu vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
201 Passes 348
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
02.04.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 2-3 HT 1-3 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
19.10.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-2 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
18.02.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-2 HT 0-2 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
20.09.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-4 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
28.02.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 2-1 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2

Academico Viseu 1-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
1-1
AWAY Leixoes
0.64 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
364 Passes 221
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu and Leixoes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 58% of the ball to Leixoes's 42%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.64 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.67 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Leixoes?

Academico Viseu 1-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 35%, draw 29%, Leixoes 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
4 May 2024
13:00 CD Feirense vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →
17:30 UD Oliveirense vs Tondela Analysis →