CD Feirense 1-0 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 32% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.45/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.03
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.65 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
436 Passes 392
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.12.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
29.04.2012 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-4 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
18.12.2011 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
1-0
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.62 xG 0.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
283 Passes 386
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; CD Feirense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CD Feirense had 45% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 55%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.62 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Feirense had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CD Feirense and 0.67 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Uniao De Leiria?

CD Feirense 1-0 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 38%, draw 26%, Uniao De Leiria 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Feirense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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