West Ham United 1-1 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 May 2025

West Ham United
1-1 HT 1-1
Tottenham
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

West Ham United vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
33.5
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
12%
8.41
X/X
11%
5.84
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
13%
5.75
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.53/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.73
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.5 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

West Ham United vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tottenham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.61
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
254 Passes 560
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 45
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
02.04.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
07.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
18.07.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-3 HT 0-2 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
19.02.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
31.08.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

West Ham United 1-1 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
1-1
AWAY Tottenham
0.84 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
328 Passes 261
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United and Tottenham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, West Ham United had 55% of the ball to Tottenham's 45%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.84 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for West Ham United and 1.83 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Tottenham?

West Ham United 1-1 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 40%, draw 27%, Tottenham 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (West Ham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Ham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
4 May 2025
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