Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea beat Liverpool 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Chelsea made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Chelsea had 35% of the ball to Liverpool's 65%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.13 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chelsea and 1.33 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 35%, draw 28%, Liverpool 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.