Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
FAK
Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool edged past Chelsea 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Liverpool had 42% of the ball to Chelsea's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.94 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liverpool and 0.33 for Chelsea.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 47%, draw 27%, Chelsea 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.