Wolverhampton 1-2 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

Wolverhampton
1-2
Manchester City
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Wolverhampton vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.55
1/2 EV+
9%
20.15
1/X
6%
18.6
X/1
7%
14.65
X/2
18%
3.7
X/X
9%
7.42
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.66
2/X
5%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-10.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 70%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.19/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.07
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.4
16.8 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wolverhampton vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Manchester City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.46 xG 2.36
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
318 Passes 596
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 5-1 HT 3-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
30.09.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
22.01.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
17.09.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-3 HT 0-2 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
11.05.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-5 HT 1-3 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
11.12.2021 Manchester City Manchester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Wolverhampton 1-2 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
1-2
AWAY Manchester City
22% Ball Possession 78%
3 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 18
143 Passes 657
66% Pass Accuracy 90%
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City squeezed past Wolverhampton 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 22% of the ball to Manchester City's 78%, shots finished 3-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 3.00 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Manchester City?

Wolverhampton 1-2 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 24%, draw 20%, Manchester City 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
20 Oct 2024
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