Manchester City 5-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
9.13
2-3 Goals
35%
2.44
4-5 Goals
32%
2.34
6+ Goals
16%
3.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.19
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
19%
3.62
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
7%
14.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
22.3
2/2
4%
30.5
2/X
6%
34.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 17% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.7pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.0pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.37/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.27
+32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
532 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
44.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.7 Crosses 13.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Wolverhampton
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.30 xG 0.45
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
625 Passes 297
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
22.01.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
17.09.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-3 HT 0-2 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
11.05.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-5 HT 1-3 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
11.12.2021 Manchester City Manchester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
02.03.2021 Manchester City Manchester City 4-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
5-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
3.74 xG 0.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
558 Passes 384
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
57 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City cruised past Wolverhampton 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Manchester City had 58% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 42%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 3.74 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Manchester City and 0.67 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Wolverhampton?

Manchester City 5-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 65%, draw 20%, Wolverhampton 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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