Brentford 0-0 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
19%
4.81
X/2
11%
7.01
X/X
8%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
14%
4.62
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +22%
1.53/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.45
+11% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.4 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fulham
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.08 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 418
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
23.07.2023 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford HAZPL
06.03.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
20.08.2022 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
01.10.2020 Brentford Brentford 3-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNLK
04.08.2020 Brentford Brentford 1-2 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
0-0
AWAY Fulham
0.63 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
405 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford and Fulham played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Brentford at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brentford had 54% of the ball to Fulham's 46%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.63 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Brentford and 1.67 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Fulham?

Brentford 0-0 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brentford 46%, draw 22%, Fulham 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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