Sheffield United 1-3 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 May 2024

Sheffield United
1-3 HT 1-1
Nottingham Forest
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sheffield United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.98
1/2
8%
20.6
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
8%
9.95
X/2
14%
4.1
X/X
7%
6.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.08
2/X
10%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 83%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.3 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Sheffield United vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
345 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-1 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
17.05.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-2 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
14.05.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
04.03.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
02.11.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.04.2019 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL

Sheffield United 1-3 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
1-3
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.31 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
413 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest beat Sheffield United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield United had 54% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 46%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.31 to 1.45 — on chances, Sheffield United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sheffield United and 1.17 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Nottingham Forest?

Sheffield United 1-3 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 31%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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