Östers 0-3 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 May 2025

Östers
0-3 HT 0-3
Hammarby
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Östers vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
45%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.72
1/2
5%
21.75
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
17.85
X/1
6%
12.05
X/2
17%
4.1
X/X
12%
6.08
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
25%
1.89
2/X
9%
15.7
Value flag · 1/X at 17.85 — our 12% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+3.5pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.8pp
47%
Away Win
61%
-14.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östers v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 66%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.09
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +27%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
19.1 Crosses 19.8
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Östers vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hammarby
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
The Meetings
20.07.2014 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 2-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
29.06.2014 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
03.11.2012 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
24.06.2012 Hammarby Hammarby 0-2 HT 0-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
18.07.2011 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
03.07.2011 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 2-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2

Östers 0-3 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
0-3
AWAY Hammarby
0.69 xG 0.99
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
268 Passes 603
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Östers vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby swept aside Östers 3-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Östers had 34% of the ball to Hammarby's 66%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.69 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Östers and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Östers vs Hammarby?

Östers 0-3 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Östers 20%, draw 33%, Hammarby 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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