Mjallby 1-0 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.54
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.48
X/2
10%
8.21
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
8%
6.45
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.48 — our 26% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
2.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.73
+15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
24.3 Crosses 23.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Göteborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.05.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
24.09.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.06.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
05.09.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-4 HT 0-3 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.07.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-0
AWAY Göteborg
2.10 xG 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
443 Passes 341
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby edged past Göteborg 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mjallby had 53% of the ball to Göteborg's 47%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.10 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mjallby's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göteborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mjallby and 1.17 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Göteborg?

Mjallby 1-0 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 50%, draw 27%, Göteborg 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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