Mjallby 1-0 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Nov 2024

Mjallby
1-0 HT 1-0
Göteborg
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Mjallby vs Göteborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 26% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.22
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
13%
6.23
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.13
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjallby v Göteborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.56/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.59
+29% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
20.5 Crosses 21.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Mjallby vs Göteborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Göteborg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.79 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
350 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.05.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
24.09.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.06.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
05.09.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-4 HT 0-3 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.07.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.03.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-2 HT 1-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK

Mjallby 1-0 Göteborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-0
AWAY Göteborg
2.03 xG 0.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
365 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby nicked a narrow win over Göteborg 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjallby had 53% of the ball to Göteborg's 47%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.03 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mjallby's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göteborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mjallby and 1.50 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Göteborg?

Mjallby 1-0 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 42%, draw 29%, Göteborg 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
10 Nov 2024
17:00 IFK Varnamo vs Elfsborg Analysis →
17:00 Kalmar vs Hacken Analysis →
17:00 Malmö FF vs Brommapojkarna Analysis →
17:00 Vasteras SK FK vs Hammarby Analysis →
17:00 Djurgarden vs Norrköping Analysis →
17:00 GAIS vs IK Sirius Analysis →