IFK Varnamo 0-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Nov 2024

IFK Varnamo
0-0 HT 0-0
Elfsborg
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.47
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.31
X/2
12%
8.2
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
12%
6.1
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.05
Value flag · 2/X at 14.05 — our 12% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-12.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.51
-34% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
21.3 Crosses 21.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

IFK Varnamo vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.63 xG 1.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
419 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 2-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
02.09.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.05.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
21.08.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
17.04.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
19.02.2017 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK

IFK Varnamo 0-0 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-0
AWAY Elfsborg
1.12 xG 0.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
371 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo and Elfsborg fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 55% of the ball to Elfsborg's 45%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.12 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.83 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Elfsborg?

IFK Varnamo 0-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 38%, draw 31%, Elfsborg 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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