Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.96
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.15
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
14%
6.55
X/2
18%
5.45
X/X
15%
5.51
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.06
2/X
7%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 45%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +14%
1.38/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.25
-21% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
25.8 Crosses 19.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Hammarby
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.94 xG 1.08
45% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 446
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 1-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
17.02.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-2 HT 1-2 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
26.09.2011 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
15.05.2011 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-0
AWAY Hammarby
0.58 xG 0.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
276 Passes 414
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK edged past Hammarby 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Vasteras SK FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 42% of the ball to Hammarby's 58%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.58 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 2.00 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Hammarby?

Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 32%, draw 30%, Hammarby 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hammarby), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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