Djurgarden 3-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 25% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.7
X/1
23%
3.43
X/2
9%
20.0
X/X
11%
7.47
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
7%
16.1
2/X
7%
23.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-18.9pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
2.03/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.54
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
494 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
25.0 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Norrköping
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
450 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-3 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
03.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
11.06.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
31.10.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
16.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
22.11.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
3-1
AWAY Norrköping
2.87 xG 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 436
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden got the better of Norrköping 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 44% of the ball to Norrköping's 56%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.87 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Djurgarden and 0.83 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Norrköping?

Djurgarden 3-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 53%, draw 24%, Norrköping 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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