Kalmar 1-0 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.55
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.8
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
19%
6.39
X/2
11%
5.39
X/X
11%
6.07
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.01
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.16/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.52
-30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
18.5 Crosses 16.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hacken
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
480 Passes 403
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
24.09.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
15.04.2023 Hacken Hacken 1-3 HT 0-2 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
12.09.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
15.05.2022 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
30.10.2021 Hacken Hacken 1-4 HT 0-3 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
1-0
AWAY Hacken
2.11 xG 0.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
381 Passes 453
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
41 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar squeezed past Hacken 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Kalmar made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kalmar had 46% of the ball to Hacken's 54%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.11 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kalmar's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kalmar and 1.50 for Hacken.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Hacken?

Kalmar 1-0 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 34%, draw 27%, Hacken 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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