GAIS 2-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Nov 2024

GAIS
2-1 HT 1-0
IK Sirius
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

GAIS vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.65
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
13%
4.98
X/2
11%
7.45
X/X
10%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.4
2/2
12%
4.63
2/X
10%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.31
-53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.4 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

GAIS vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY IK Sirius
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 1.71
43% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
253 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
41 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.07.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
29.08.2016 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
11.06.2016 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
01.11.2015 GAIS GAIS 2-3 HT 2-3 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
11.05.2015 IK Sirius IK Sirius 5-0 HT 3-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
15.09.2014 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2

GAIS 2-1 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-1
AWAY IK Sirius
1.58 xG 0.82
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
268 Passes 448
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GAIS vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS nicked a narrow win over IK Sirius 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, GAIS had 39% of the ball to IK Sirius's 61%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.58 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for GAIS and 1.83 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of GAIS vs IK Sirius?

GAIS 2-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split GAIS 46%, draw 25%, IK Sirius 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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