Djurgarden 1-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 May 2025

Djurgarden
1-1 HT 1-0
AIK
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Djurgarden vs AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
5.91
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.14
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
12%
5.37
X/2
15%
5.54
X/X
19%
3.57
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
11%
4.35
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.5pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.28/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.16
-42% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
23.7 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Djurgarden vs AIK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AIK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
437 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
21.04.2024 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
17.03.2024 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
24.09.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
28.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
16.10.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ

Djurgarden 1-1 AIK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
1-1
AWAY AIK
1.46 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
269 Passes 284
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden and AIK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Djurgarden had 49% of the ball to AIK's 51%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.46 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Djurgarden and 1.50 for AIK.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs AIK?

Djurgarden 1-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 31%, draw 34%, AIK 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AIK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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