AIK 2-0 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Apr 2024

AIK
2-0 HT 0-0
Djurgarden
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

AIK vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.21
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
12%
5.64
X/2
12%
5.2
X/X
10%
3.84
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.75
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.56/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.18
-2% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.4 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

AIK vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
295 Passes 426
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
24.09.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
28.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
16.10.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.04.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
03.10.2021 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

AIK 2-0 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-0
AWAY Djurgarden
1.34 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
367 Passes 433
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AIK vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK beat Djurgarden 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day AIK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, AIK had 46% of the ball to Djurgarden's 54%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AIK and 0.50 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of AIK vs Djurgarden?

AIK 2-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AIK 33%, draw 29%, Djurgarden 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
21 Apr 2024
15:00 GAIS vs Mjallby Analysis →
17:30 Hacken vs Hammarby Analysis →
17:30 Halmstad vs Brommapojkarna Analysis →