Hacken 2-1 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.42
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.65
X/2
7%
8.29
X/X
11%
5.69
2/1
8%
21.15
2/2
15%
5.4
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.82/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.45
+25% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 85%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.7 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.89 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
410 Passes 429
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
09.04.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
17.09.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.06.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
06.03.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 4-0 HT 2-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇK
26.09.2021 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
2-1
AWAY Hammarby
1.51 xG 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 8
406 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
50 Box Touches 29
29 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken squeezed past Hammarby 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hacken as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hacken had 51% of the ball to Hammarby's 49%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.51 to 2.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hammarby.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hacken and 1.83 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Hammarby?

Hacken 2-1 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hacken 44%, draw 25%, Hammarby 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hacken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hacken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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