GAIS 2-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Apr 2024

GAIS
2-1 HT 0-0
Mjallby
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.21
6+ Goals
11%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.48
1/2
13%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.05
X/2
13%
4.99
X/X
10%
4.06
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.41
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.33/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.95
-82% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.0 Crosses 18.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
11.08.2019 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
26.05.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
03.08.2015 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
31.05.2015 GAIS GAIS 4-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
15.09.2012 Mjallby Mjallby 4-0 HT 2-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
07.05.2012 GAIS GAIS 2-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-1
AWAY Mjallby
1.99 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
285 Passes 392
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS squeezed past Mjallby 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mjallby at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, GAIS had 44% of the ball to Mjallby's 56%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.99 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for GAIS and 2.00 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Mjallby?

GAIS 2-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split GAIS 27%, draw 26%, Mjallby 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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