Sion 2-1 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 May 2025

Sion
2-1 HT 2-1
Zürich
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.87
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.1
X/2
11%
7.28
X/X
9%
5.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.75
2/2
14%
4.99
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.40/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.44
-28% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.0 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zürich
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 1.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 Passes 349
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2025 Sion Sion 2-1 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
30.10.2024 Sion Sion 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
29.09.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-0 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
30.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-2 HT 1-2 Sion Sion İSV
05.02.2023 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
30.10.2022 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
2-1
AWAY Zürich
0.86 xG 0.57
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
144 Passes 459
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sion vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion nicked a narrow win over Zürich 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sion had 29% of the ball to Zürich's 71%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.86 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sion and 1.33 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Sion vs Zürich?

Sion 2-1 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sion 44%, draw 23%, Zürich 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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