Roma (K) 3-3 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Roma (K) The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.00
Great Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
35 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.63 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
359 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
25.01.2025 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 1-2 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
20.10.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
3 - 3
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.90 xG 1.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Roma (K) vs AC Milan (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Roma (K) and AC Milan (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. The 2-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Roma (K) at 69% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, AC Milan (K) saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.90 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Roma (K) against 2.33 for AC Milan (K).

Roma (K) vs AC Milan (K) Result & Final Score

Roma (K) 3 - 3 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Roma (K) vs AC Milan (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 69%, draw 17%, AC Milan (K) 14%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →