Madrid CFF (K) 1-2 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.62/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.56
+71% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
10.0 Crosses 15.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Badalona (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 2.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
388 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
18.02.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
1-2
AWAY Badalona (K)
0.66 xG 2.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona (K) edged past Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Badalona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 51% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 49%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.66 to 2.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Badalona (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madrid CFF (K) and 1.00 for Badalona (K).

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 1-2 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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