San Martin San Juan 0-3 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
6.42
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.2
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
9%
4.44
X/2
11%
6.96
X/X
18%
3.37
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
13%
6.29
2/X
6%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.75/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.68
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.2 Crosses 16.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.26 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 261
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
7 Box Touches 54
3 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 5
14.06.2023 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJK
12.02.2019 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
25.10.2016 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
19.03.2016 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-2 HT 2-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
29.08.2015 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
0-3
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
0.75 xG 1.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
332 Passes 160
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi cruised past San Martin San Juan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Atletico Aldosivi found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 63% of the ball to Atletico Aldosivi's 37%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.75 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.20 for Atletico Aldosivi.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Aldosivi?

San Martin San Juan 0-3 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 37%, draw 31%, Atletico Aldosivi 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (San Martin San Juan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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