Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.86
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.19
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
12%
15.85
X/1
11%
4.39
X/2
12%
7.07
X/X
19%
3.26
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
10%
6.51
2/X
7%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.4pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.1pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.25/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.27
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
25.8 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 209
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
30.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
17.06.2022 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
20.04.2022 Platense Platense 0-3 HT 0-2 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.07.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-2 HT 0-2 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-0
AWAY Platense
0.71 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 3
383 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 17
48 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata edged past Platense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 38% / 29%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia La Plata found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 63% of the ball to Platense's 37%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.71 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.00 for Platense.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Platense?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 34%, draw 38%, Platense 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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