Platense 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

Platense
1-0 HT 1-0
Gimnasia La Plata
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.53
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.87
2-3 Goals
33%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
6.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.1
X/1
17%
3.76
X/2
8%
9.02
X/X
15%
3.41
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
8.62
2/X
7%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.5pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Platense v Gimnasia La Plata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.35/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.32
-54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
26.0 Crosses 17.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.41 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
226 Passes 302
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
17.06.2022 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
20.04.2022 Platense Platense 0-3 HT 0-2 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.07.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-2 HT 0-2 Platense Platense ARJ

Platense 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-0
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.06 xG 0.09
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 7
157 Passes 393
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense squeezed past Gimnasia La Plata 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Platense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

On the day, Platense had 34% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 66%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.06 to 0.09.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Platense and 1.75 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Platense 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Platense 47%, draw 29%, Gimnasia La Plata 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Platense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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