Racing Club 1-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.43
1/2
5%
23.85
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
14%
7.74
X/2
15%
4.69
X/X
15%
4.94
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.67
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.23/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.06
+57% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.9 Crosses 19.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
1W-1D-4L
AWAY River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.48 xG 1.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
23.10.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-2 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
27.05.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate CSA
08.04.2022 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club CSA
28.02.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-2 HT 2-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
26.11.2021 River Plate River Plate 4-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
1-0
AWAY River Plate
1.11 xG 1.02
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
149 Passes 323
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club nicked a narrow win over River Plate 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Racing Club made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club had 35% of the ball to River Plate's 65%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.11 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Club and 1.83 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs River Plate?

Racing Club 1-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 35%, draw 27%, River Plate 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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