Boca Juniors 0-0 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

Boca Juniors
0-0 HT 0-0
Independiente
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Boca Juniors vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.27
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
10%
6.66
X/X
18%
3.57
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.63
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.4pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boca Juniors v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.45/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.02
+29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.6 Crosses 15.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Boca Juniors vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
374 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Independiente Independiente 0-2 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
23.10.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
27.02.2022 Independiente Independiente 2-2 HT 1-2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
25.11.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
29.03.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
21.12.2020 Independiente Independiente 1-2 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ

Boca Juniors 0-0 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
0-0
AWAY Independiente
1.00 xG 2.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
274 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors and Independiente fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 25%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 50% of the ball to Independiente's 50%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.00 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.17 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Independiente?

Boca Juniors 0-0 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 40%, draw 34%, Independiente 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boca Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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