First Vienna 0-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over Pick
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.54
No
45%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.58
2-3
35%
1.9
4-5
30%
2.72
6+
12%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.24
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
20%
4.6
X/2
6%
9.24
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1
8%
20.35
2/2
14%
6.49
2/X
10%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME First Vienna The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV The Market 26%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.17 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.25
1.60 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.60
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 1-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
17.05.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 4-2 HT 0-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
04.11.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
21.04.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
30.09.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
18.07.2021 First Vienna First Vienna 3-5 HT 0-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
0-2
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW First Vienna vs Kapfenberger SV
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kapfenberger SV got the better of First Vienna 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned First Vienna at 52% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 57% to 43% in First Vienna's favour, shots finished 12-9.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for First Vienna against 1.83 for Kapfenberger SV.

First Vienna vs Kapfenberger SV Result & Final Score

First Vienna 0-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

First Vienna vs Kapfenberger SV Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 52%, draw 24%, Kapfenberger SV 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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