Al Wahda 3-0 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.87/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.95
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.3 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Sharjah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.21 xG 1.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
23.12.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
14.12.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
01.06.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
13.02.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
31.03.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
3-0
AWAY Al Sharjah
1.92 xG 1.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 3
283 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 22
5 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda swept aside Al Sharjah 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Wahda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Wahda had 43% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 57%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.92 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wahda and 1.67 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Sharjah?

Al Wahda 3-0 Al Sharjah in the UAE - League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 37%, draw 26%, Al Sharjah 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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