Al Ain 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.96
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
5.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.79
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
25.2 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAECK
30.12.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
22.12.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
15.12.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
02.06.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
11.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
1-1
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.06 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain and Al Jazira Abu Dhabi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Al Ain had 57% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 43%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ain and 1.50 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Ain 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 49%, draw 25%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ain), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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