Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.8pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.78/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.13
-40% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +63%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
9.3 Crosses 30.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
352 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
15.12.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
02.06.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
11.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.02.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
15.09.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
3-2
AWAY Al Ain
1.46 xG 1.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
256 Passes 223
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi nicked a narrow win over Al Ain 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Jazira Abu Dhabi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 53% of the ball to Al Ain's 47%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.46 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.83 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ain?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2 Al Ain in the UAE - League Cup on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 38%, draw 28%, Al Ain 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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