The Strongest 5-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
79%
-14.5pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.7pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.85/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.05
+10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
426 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
22.7 Crosses 11.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guabira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
308 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
24.05.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 3-2 HT 2-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
08.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 4-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
11.05.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
14.05.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
03.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-3 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
5-1
AWAY Guabira
3.58 xG 0.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
322 Passes 216
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest cruised past Guabira 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The Strongest had 59% of the ball to Guabira's 41%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 3.58 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for The Strongest and 1.33 for Guabira.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Guabira?

The Strongest 5-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 65%, draw 18%, Guabira 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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