Guabira 1-0 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
1.13/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.33
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
12.4 Crosses 17.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY The Strongest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
247 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 3-2 HT 2-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
08.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 4-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
11.05.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
14.05.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
03.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-3 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
26.10.2021 Guabira Guabira 0-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-0
AWAY The Strongest
0.75 xG 0.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
217 Passes 196
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guabira vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira edged past The Strongest 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was The Strongest at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guabira had 52% of the ball to The Strongest's 48%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.75 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guabira and 1.33 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Guabira vs The Strongest?

Guabira 1-0 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guabira 33%, draw 26%, The Strongest 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (The Strongest) ✗ BTTS Yes
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