Bolivar vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolivar v Aurora — Team-Based Signals
Bolivar vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bolivar
BOLPLK
3-1
HT 1-1
Aurora
BOLPLK
2-1
HT 1-1
Bolivar
BOLİ
1-0
HT 0-0
Aurora
BOLİ
5-1
HT 3-0
Aurora
BOLİ
Bolivar 0-1 Aurora — Actual Match Statistics
Aurora nicked a narrow win over Bolivar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bolivar at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bolivar had 70% of the ball to Aurora's 30%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.06 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bolivar.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bolivar and 1.00 for Aurora.
What was the final score of Bolivar vs Aurora?
Bolivar 0-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Aurora?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 59%, draw 23%, Aurora 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.