Mushuc Runa 4-3 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.44/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.15
+42% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.3 Crosses 16.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Macara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 202
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
11.05.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.09.2022 Macara Macara 3-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
21.04.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
21.08.2021 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
20.03.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
4-3
AWAY Macara
1.50 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 16
12 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
240 Passes 221
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Mushuc Runa vs Macara
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mushuc Runa edged past Macara 4-3 in the Ecuador - Premier on 4 May 2025. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 53% of the ball to Macara's 47%, shots finished 24-16, expected goals 1.50 to 0.94.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mushuc Runa and 0.83 for Macara.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Macara?

Mushuc Runa 4-3 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 43%, draw 29%, Macara 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
4 May 2025
00:30 Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica Analysis →
21:00 Delfin vs Orense Analysis →