KaPa 1-1 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 4 May 2025

KaPa
1-1 HT 1-0
JIPPO
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
8%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 57%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.18/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/1.47
+2% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
225 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY JIPPO
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 JIPPO JIPPO 2-1 KaPa KaPa FINYK
25.08.2024 KaPa KaPa 2-1 HT 1-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
17.07.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-4 HT 1-1 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
18.05.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
22.10.2022 JIPPO JIPPO 0-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
01.10.2022 JIPPO JIPPO 1-1 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-1
AWAY JIPPO
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KaPa vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and JIPPO shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was JIPPO at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KaPa had 41% of the ball to JIPPO's 59%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JIPPO led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KaPa and 1.67 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of KaPa vs JIPPO?

KaPa 1-1 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated an JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KaPa 29%, draw 21%, JIPPO 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JIPPO), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JIPPO) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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