KaPa 1-4 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 17 Jul 2024

KaPa
1-4 HT 1-1
JIPPO
📅17/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.56/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/0.97
+26% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-2D-1L
AWAY JIPPO
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.05.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
22.10.2022 JIPPO JIPPO 0-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
01.10.2022 JIPPO JIPPO 1-1 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
09.07.2022 KaPa KaPa 0-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-4
AWAY JIPPO
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
POST-MATCH KaPa vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO cruised past KaPa 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JIPPO as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KaPa had 46% of the ball to JIPPO's 54%, shots finished 5-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for KaPa and 0.75 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of KaPa vs JIPPO?

KaPa 1-4 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated an JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KaPa 30%, draw 27%, JIPPO 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JIPPO), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JIPPO) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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