PK-35 ry 2-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-12.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 59%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.74/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.76
-28% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +37%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Jaro
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
16.07.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-4 HT 0-3 Jaro Jaro FİN2
15.05.2022 Jaro Jaro 4-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
28.08.2021 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.06.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
2-1
AWAY Jaro
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry squeezed past Jaro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jaro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 35% of the ball to Jaro's 65%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for PK-35 ry and 2.40 for Jaro.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs Jaro?

PK-35 ry 2-1 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 31%, draw 26%, Jaro 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jaro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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