SalPa Salo 2-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.26/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.68
+0% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-0D-4L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
19.05.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 2-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
09.03.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
08.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
21.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
2-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo nicked a narrow win over SJK Akatemia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day SalPa Salo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 41% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 59%, shots finished 12-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for SalPa Salo and 2.00 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

SalPa Salo 2-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 34%, draw 30%, SJK Akatemia 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SJK Akatemia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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