JaPS 1-1 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 17 Jul 2024

JaPS
1-1 HT 1-0
Mikkeli
📅17/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
48%
-13.4pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 31%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.73/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.23
-4% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
407 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-3 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
09.03.2024 JaPS JaPS 4-1 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FINYK
14.07.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-2 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
06.05.2023 JaPS JaPS 1-3 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
03.09.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
22.06.2022 JaPS JaPS 1-4 HT 0-3 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
1-1
AWAY Mikkeli
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JaPS vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS and Mikkeli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JaPS had 50% of the ball to Mikkeli's 50%, shots finished 3-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for JaPS and 1.67 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of JaPS vs Mikkeli?

JaPS 1-1 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split JaPS 35%, draw 33%, Mikkeli 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JaPS), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JaPS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
17 Jul 2024
18:30 KTP Kotka vs TPS Turku Analysis →
18:30 KaPa vs JIPPO Analysis →
18:30 SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia Analysis →
18:30 PK-35 ry vs Jaro Analysis →