KTP Kotka 1-2 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +26%
1.96/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.80
+20% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +99%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-4 HT 1-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
08.10.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
04.07.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-3 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
28.04.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
14.11.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
11.11.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
1-2
AWAY TPS Turku
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku edged past KTP Kotka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was KTP Kotka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 63% of the ball to TPS Turku's 37%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KTP Kotka and 0.67 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs TPS Turku?

KTP Kotka 1-2 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 42%, draw 28%, TPS Turku 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KTP Kotka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
17 Jul 2024
18:30 JaPS vs Mikkeli Analysis →
18:30 KaPa vs JIPPO Analysis →
18:30 SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia Analysis →
18:30 PK-35 ry vs Jaro Analysis →