Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
0.94/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.14
-12% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kitchee
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
21.09.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 8-0 HT 4-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
17.02.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
23.12.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 4-4 Kitchee Kitchee HONSAP
24.09.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 2-0 HT 1-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
13.05.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-7 HT 1-3 Kitchee Kitchee HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
0-1
AWAY Kitchee
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee nicked a narrow win over Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hong Kong Rangers had 45% of the ball to Kitchee's 55%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hong Kong Rangers and 4.00 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee?

Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong Rangers 26%, draw 25%, Kitchee 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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