Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Cerezo Osaka (K) win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.56
-46% / -86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -60%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
02.03.2024 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
3-1
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) saw off Mynavi Sendai (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerezo Osaka (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 41% of the ball to Mynavi Sendai (K)'s 59%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cerezo Osaka (K) and 1.50 for Mynavi Sendai (K).

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 57%, draw 21%, Mynavi Sendai (K) 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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